This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

March 28, 2013

NIFTY @ 200 DMA

Nifty is hovering around 200 DMA @ 5620. Today being Month and week close - a close below 5620 - 200 DMA would pull Nifty down below 5550.

Few Charts:

NIFTY DAY MA:



200 DMA @ 5619.5. AN EOD close below it would be very bearish  The Channel Support is at 5570-80. An Intraday bounce can occur at these levels. Today's closing below  Month LEMA at 5642 would be very bearish  and it would be an occurrence after 9 months last being on jun 2012.


The downward trending channel support is way below 5550. As per the above chart breaking of 5600 and 5570 decisively, Nifty would easily get down to touch 5500.

Hour chart:

The Falling wedge breakout would occur only above 5655-60. Supports possible at 5580, 5570 levels.

Synopsis:

SUPPORTS - 5570-5589 - CHANNEL SUPPORT
EOD CLOSE BELOW 5620 MORE DOWNSIDES, ABOVE 5620 - MAY BE A PAUSE IN DOWN MOVEMENT AS 200 DMA IS HELD.





March 26, 2013

200 DMA - support or failure??

Nifty has made another low of 5624. Though Positive divergences are exhibited consistently in Hour charts and day Charts, Nifty keeps trending down and down. 200 DMA at 5619 is the last hope for Bulls - supported by channel at 5570-80 ranges. If there has to be a pause in down movement - the EOD close must be above 200 DMA - till then the downmove continues.




Hour chart:


Supports at 5570-5600-5620 based on Channel, 200DMA, and Fibo numbers. Intraday bounce possible based on these numbers - though the overall trend is down. Breakout of Falling wedge is necessary for further upmoves.