This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

October 21, 2011

Analysis for Oct 21

NIFTY MIDWAY BETWEEN HOUR TF - DAY TF:

Hour TF Bullish Crab Pattern:                           Day TF Bearish Shark Pattern:
XA=  4758 -5160                                                 OX= 5168 - 4728
   B =5011 - 38.2% retr of XA                               A = 5034 - 61.8% retr of OX
   C = 5148-  94.3% retr of AB                              B = 4728 - 113% of XA
   D = 5033 (current)                                               C = 5148 (current)
                                                                              
 Projections for D:                                                Projection for C:                         


50.00%5079.0050Hr MA
61.80%5063.00week Pivot113.00%5179.00
70.70%5051.0055 DMA127.00%5200.00
78.60%5040.00Day Lema161.80%5252.00
88.60%5026.0013 Dema
94.30%5018.0026 Dema
113.00%4993.00week 5SMA
127.00%4974.0020DMA





Nifty is Midway between the Hour TF and Day TF.  5040 -5060 band acts as supports. 5130-5160 band acts as resistances.

Today's Day Hema is 5111 and Day Low EMA is 5040 and Pivot is 5075.

Trading above Pivot and Day Hema would help NS to cross the previous resistance at 5160  and reach the 100DMA at 5250 levels.  - DAY TF

Trading Below 5075 Day Pivot and next Day Lema at 5040 would weaken NS and would go lower either to 20 DMA at 4980 or still lower to Month Lema @ 4930 - This would complete the Hour TF Pattern at 161.8%.



Week parameters :


Week levelsDeveloping
CLOSE5132
PIVOT5052PIVOT5088
HI EMA5084HI EMA5109
LOW EMA4831LOW EMA4891
5 EMA50085 EMA5036
5 SMA49835 SMA4985
PrevHigh5141
Prev Low4882


Day Parameters:


CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE5092
PIVOT507510EMA5055
HI EMA511113EMA5040
LOW EMA504026EMA5022
5EMA5089prev HI5099
5 SMA5104prev LOW5034
50DMA4999
100DMA5258100Hr MA4988
50Hr5081200Hr MA4991


TRADE TABLE:


Trade Table
Current patternX-ABC D (current)
 Bullish crab Pattern in Hour TF4728 - 5160501151485034
Trade initiatedSL 5070 NS Day Pivot
Bought at 5040NSRetr of CD (NS)
Bought at 5085 NS50.00%5090.00
61.80%5104.00
78.60%5123.00
113.00%5162.00
When NS moves above the 5148 then the Day TF would come into play


If SL gets triggered then it would be prudent to wait and watch the support point and buy at those levels.


Important TA parameters of projections
Day 5EMA50.00%5090.00
Day 5SMA61.80%5104.00
Day HEMA78.60%5123.00
Prev Mon High113.00%5162.00



If NS trades above 5148 then next upsides for C
Prev MON High113.00%5179.00
127.00%5200.00
100DMA161.80%5252.00


Intraday Update 12.15 PM:

As the Hour close of 12.00 noon was below the Day Hema, The Longs are booked here. Further LONG when Hr closes above Day Hema 5109 or Shorts when Hr closes below Pivot of 5075. Let the range get resolved. Longs booked at NOV series 5135 NF.











3 comments:

Nilesh Patil said...

@ Satheesh
Please confirm fast fall setup.

satheesh said...

Nilesh,

which TF are you asking about? as far as 5min TF is considered the Still the fast fall set up has not yet evolved properly.

satheesh said...

Nilesh,

Now the 5min MA's 20,35,50,70 & 100 are alligned at 5115,5114,5108,5094,and 5079 respectively. A fast rise from here invalid below 5060NF (OCT sereis)

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