This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

December 2, 2011

ANALYSIS for DEC 2

Intraday Update 3.00 pm:
INTRADAY and POSITIONAL shorts squared off.

INTRADAY UPDATE 1.30PM:
Shorted aggressively (for Intraday) at 5010 NS with SL Hour close above 5020 -  50 DMA.

AS expected NS opened with  huge GAP up yesterday and has closed above the Day Hema but lower than Day Pivot. It has also closed well above the Week Lema but below the Week 5EMA. If NS manages to Close above the week 5EMA today then we could see more upsides.


Week levels
Developing levels
CLOSE4710CLOSE
PIVOT4741PIVOT4901
HI EMA5132HI EMA5092
LOW EMA4876LOW EMA4836
5 EMA49625 EMA4954
5 SMA50865SMA5001
PrevHigh487410 EMA5014
Prev Low4639



CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE4937
PIVOT495510EMA4865
HI EMA484713EMA4887
LOW EMA475426EMA4957
5EMA4853prev HI5011
5 SMA4827prev LOW4917
50DMA501720 DMA4988
100Hr MA4890200 HrMA5049


A Reciprocal ABCD Harmonic pattern is Completed in the DAY Charts with the  High of 5011 yesterday.

Reciprocal ABCD pattern:


Reciprocal AB=CD

The 5-0 pattern incorporates a new type of AB=CD measurement - a Reciprocal
AB=CD pattern. A Reciprocal AB=CD pattern is typically a shorter counter move of
equal length within a longer trend. They look like a lazy "Z" or "S."




The Reciprocal AB=CDs within the specific 5-0 structure are quite effective in defining a
precise area for a potential reversal. Although the 50% retracement is the most important
number at the pattern completion point, it is still essential to examine the entire range.


As per the Pattern:

RECIPROCAL ABCD pattern
A - 5011
B - 5400
C - 4640 - greater than 161.8% & less than 224%
D = 5011 - 50% retr of BC

The 50% retr of BC to form D is very important.
The Bearish RECIPROCAL ABCD pattern depicted in Hour Charts:


The Fall from 5011 is indicated by the negative divergence formed in the above chart



The above chart shows the EW count in Hour Chart:
Alternate 1 -
wave 4 terminated at 5011 and 5.i has started.(a,b,c)
Alternate 2
the v.4c is yet to commence.

There is a cluster of resistances at,
4960 - 5020 by way of Week 5ema, week 5 SMaA, week 10 EMA and a move past all these resistances and a close above it would only result in  further upmoves ELse the 5th wave down would be confirmed. Todays week Close is an important deciding factor.

Trade Table
Current patternA-BCD(current)
Reciprocal ABCD Pattern DAY TF5011 - 540046405011
Trade initiatedSL Close above 5020 
SOLD at 5005 NFTGT Projected
23.60%4923.00PP bkd @ 4940 NF
38.20%4869.00
44.70%4844.00
50.00%4825.00


IMPORTANT TA parameters for projections
4923.00Prev Day Low
4869.0010 EMA
4844.00Day HEMA
4825.00week LEMA


If NS trades above 5011 then higher projections
Prev Low50.00%5019.00
200 Hr MA61.80%5109.00
50 DMA7070.00%5177.00
7860.00%5237.00




7 comments:

Smita said...

Dear Satheesh ,

I am trying to plot the slow macd on the hour chart but am not able to plot them together on the same chart , they get plotted on different chats , will it be possible for you to briefly tell me the guidelines , as to how to do that . ALso the price marks are there on the left side , I want to take them to right side ..but unable to do so .
Kindly guide when you get time after market hours .

Many thanks and rgds
Smita

satheesh said...

Smita,

The Primary axis is on the left side and the secondary axis on the right. By default the first data would take the primary axis and for the second data set you will get the option of choosing the axis.

the NS details has to be plotted using the Stock chart option. The Smacd must be plotted using the line chart. So give the first set of data for Smacd and then then the second set of data as OHLC of NS. when you give the second set of data choose the secondary axis instead of primary axis. Your problem will be solved.

ALBELA HOUSE said...

DEAR SATISH, very simple n very nice explanaion. best wishes 4 happy n bright future.

satheesh said...

Thanks ALBELA

Smita said...

Many thanks Satheesh , I will try it .

Nilesh Patil said...

@Satheesh,
Risining wedge is intact or not?
What is the invalidation level of this rising wedge

Smita said...

Thanks Satheesh ,

I was finally able to do it , but did the OHLC on primary axis and S.Macd as line chart on secondary .

Rgds
Smita

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