This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

February 27, 2012

Analysis for Feb 27

Intraday Update 2.00 PM:

 20 Hr MA  50 Hr MA  100Hr MA  200Hr MA 
     5,463           5,521          5,451       5,274
     5,450           5,517          5,450       5,276
     5,440           5,514          5,450       5,279


BEARISH CROSSOVER OF 20 hr MA OVER 100 Hr MA. NEXT SUPPORT 200 Hr MA - 5279

INtraday Update 1.00 PM:
SL trailed to Close above 5350 - week 5 EMA

Intraday Update 12.45:
Will Book out the Shorts near 5285-90NS as it is the 61.8% Projection from 5076 -5629.

Intraday Update 11.45 AM:

Possibility of Fast rise of 50 Hr MA and 100 Hr MA:

If fast Rise devlops then NS would move up. If Crossover occurs then more Downsides.

Intraday Update 10.20 AM:

Partbooked Shorts at 5380NS corresponding to week 5SMA and Trailing the SL to 5405.
Hour Chart Update:




The Channel has been breached and has reached a low near the week 5SMA. If supported then NS is likely to move up.
AS per EW if it is the 4th wave down then the likelyhood of breaching the trendline and moving back into the channel for a swift final 5the wave. - It is not a rule but a guideline.


ANALYSIS FOR FEB 27:

Nifty has closed below the Week HEMA and Day HEMA - exhibiting weakness. But the Low made is exactly supported at the Month HEMA 5401. Just with 3 more days for the month close, Nifty is likely to get supported at the Month Hema 5401.

Development of Bullish Crab/Bat pattern in Hour Charts:


Development of a Bullish PatternXA - 5076 - 5629
Projections for B:B -5406 - approx 38.2% -5417 - DONE
If current B holds, then Projection for C:38.2% - 5475
44.7% - 5491
50% - 5504
61.8% - 5533

Fibo projections for the upmove from 5076 - 5629:
If 5406 is broken down then futher projections for B:
38.2% retr - 5417
44.7% - 5381.81 - corresponds to the week 5 SMA.
50% - 5352
61.8% -5287.25




Week levelsMonth Developing levels
CLOSE5429CLOSE
PIVOT5488PIVOT5406
HI EMA5447HI EMA5401
LOW EMA5232LOW EMA4843
5 EMA53545 EMA5169
5 SMA53815 SMA5082
PrevHigh5630 High5630
Prev Low5406LOW5159



CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE54295 SMA5536
PIVOT54525EMA5511
HI EMA555110EMA5473
LOW EMA545713EMA5441
prev HI552126EMA5308
prev LOW540620 Hr MA5496
100 DMA5020100 Hr MA5450
50 DMA5037



Trade Table
Current patternX-AB(Current)
Bullish Crab/Bat Pattern5076-56295406
Trade initiatedSL Day close above Day LEMA 5457
Short from 5510 NS(feb23)If  B Breaks then further Proj for B
44.70%5381.00 Part book at 5375-80
50.00%5352.00
61.80%5287.00



IMPORTANT TA parameters for projections
44.70%5381.00Week 5 SMA
50.00%5352.00week 5 EMA
61.80%5287.00
Week LEMA

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