This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

March 23, 2012

ANALYSIS FOR MAR 23

Nifty had a heavy fall and closed below the Day LEMA and Week LEMA. An EOD close above the Day LEMA 5251 will give a pause to this downmove.

Bullish Crab Pattern:


Development of Bullish Crab Pattern.XA - 4531 - 5629
B - 5171 38.2% of XA - 5209 - DONE
C - 5499 - approx 70.7%(5494)- Done
Holding C, Proj for D:
78.6% -5241 - Done
113%- 5128
127% -5082
161.8% - 4968
224%- 4764


The 113% projection of 5128 is very important as it corresponds to the Long term channel Support. A Bounce off this level is likely if the Channel Support is respected.


If the Channel support is broken NS will drop down to the 127% projection 5082 corresponding to 100 DMA and the downward channel support.



To continue within the Contracting triangle NS must trade above 5210. The Channel support comes to 5080 levels.

Hour channel Suports:



CHANNEL SUPPORTS:
5171 - 5164
CHANNEL SUPPORTS:
5080-70


If the channel support is respected at 5171 - then the Bearish Gartley Pattern(Click Here) formed in Hour Charts would continue. Below 5171 it would be a Bearish Shark Pattern.  


Below 5171 - the Pattern would be a Bearish Shark Pattern :
OX - 5629 - 5171
A - 5499 - 70.7% OF OX
with Proj for B as:
113% - 5128
127% -5082.

SYNOPSIS:
TODAY'S TRADING LEVELS:
5210/5171/5128/5082.

Aggressive Sell Below 5210 with Day LEMA as SL.
Aggressive buy at 5171 with Hourly close below 200 DMA @ 5164 as SL
Aggressive BUY at 5128 levels with EOD close below 5082 - 100 DMA as SL.

FOR BANK NIFTY CHARTS CLICK HERE


Week levelsWeek Developing levels
CLOSE5318CLOSE
PIVOT5374PIVOT5269
HI EMA5452HI EMA5425
LOW EMA5248LOW EMA5234
5 EMA53385 EMA5302
5 SMA54015 SMA5334
PrevHigh5499 High5372
Prev Low5305LOW5206



CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE52285 SMA5289
PIVOT52735EMA5295
HI EMA537610EMA5317
LOW EMA525113EMA5324
prev HI538626DEMA5321
prev LOW520620 Hr MA5305
50 DMA5262100 DMA5079
200DMA5164

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