This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

September 11, 2012

ANALYSIS FOR SEPT 11

Today's Support - 20 DMA/Day HEMA - 5328-5335. An EOD close below this would drag Nifty Down towards Day LEMA/50 DMA - 5280-70.

Now lets see what charts say:

DAY CHARTS:






From the Above two charts it is clear that NEXT RESISTANCE 5410-20. Breakout would lead to 5500++. There is a Highly Bullish Possibilities with all Day EMA's alligned in a Bullish Manner and
Converging of EMA's. Fast Rise setup exists between 5EMA and 13 EMA and 26 EMA
5EMA - 5311
13 EMA - 5307
26 DMA - 5298



HARMONIC PATTERN IN DAY CHARTS:


Alternate:1 - IF NIFTY FINDS RESISTANCE AT 5400 LEVELS then,
Developing Bullish Bat patternXA - 5032-5449
B - 5215 - approx 50% retr of XA
Holding B - Proj for C:
5332 - 50%
-61.8% 5360
70.7% - 5380
78.6% - 5399
88.6% - 5422

If the Resistance Breaks and the Inverse H&S pattern plays out then :
Alt -2:
ABCD Pattern

AB - 5032 -5449
C - 5215 -approx 50% retr of AB
Holding C Proj for D:
113% -
127% - 5512
141.4% - 5545
161.8% - 5593

SYNOPSIS:
HOLD LONGS (taken on Friday sept 6)  WITH TRAILED STOPLOSS EOD close 5300-5290.
Breakdown below 5290 Breakout above 5400.

CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE53635 SMA5278
PIVOT53635EMA5311
HI EMA532810EMA5306
LOW EMA528913EMA5307
prev HI537520 Hr MA5320
prev LOW534950 Hr MA5281
20 DMA5333100 Hr MA5320
50 DMA5276200 Hr MA5311
100 DMA5162

No comments:

Post a Comment