This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

October 12, 2012

Analysis for Oct 12

Nifty Gathered support from 20 DMA and closed exactly at 10 DMA and below Day HEMA.
Today Being week close, A close below the Week HEMA @ 5699 would weaken Nifty.  Strength if closed above the Day HEMA 5727.

WEEK CHARTS:

If the -VE divergence in weekly charts comes to play then more downsides would be seen.


If the -ve divergence comes to play then Nifty would be dragged further down towards channel bottom.


Day CHARTS:
 
 
CHANNEL RESISTANCE - 5720-30
Fibonacci retr for 5537-5815 :
61.8% - 5643 - approx 20 DMA
78.6% - 5596
88.6% - 5568
 
Fibonacci retr for 5815 - 5636
38.2% - 5704
44.7% - 5716
50% - 5726
61.8% - 5747
Hour Chart:
 
 

An Descending Triangle formation.

Channel/ triangle breakout - above 5720

First Support - 5670

Ascending Triangle Support - 5640 - 5635

SYNOPSIS:

Buy above 5725 with SL 5708 - 10 DMA - Triangle Breakout.
Sell below 5635 with SL 5647 - 20 DMA - Triangle Breakdown.

Trade between 5640/70 - 5710/30


CHECK LIST-DAY        Developing Week Levels  
CLOSE 5708 5 SMA 5698 CLOSE  
PIVOT 5689 5EMA 5697 PIVOT 5699
HI EMA 5727 10EMA 5688 HI EMA 5699
LOW EMA 5661 13EMA 5673 LOW EMA 5568
prev HI 5721 50 Hr MA 5716 5 EMA 5653
prev LOW 5637 100 Hr MA 5697 5 SMA 5685
10 DMA 5708 200 Hr MA 5542
20 DMA 5647     PrevHigh 5752
        Prev Low 5637


3 comments:

madamuniramaiah said...

GOOD MORNING. and THANKS for your inputs.

Nilesh Patil said...

Good Morning Mam,
What a coincedance that yesterday night i mail to master about -ve div. on day. and you posted a chart.

madamuniramaiah said...

Dear sister
To day so many times,NS taken suports from 1st SUPORT LEVEL of 5670 Is it advisable to go long there on MONDAY,today i coverd my NF SHORTS @5698 for loss of 10 points.YOUR ADVICE PLEASE.
UNGAL ADVICE KAAGA KATHIRPEAN
VANNAKAM.(I AM NATIVE OF PUTTUR TOWN NEAR TIRUPATHI,THATS WHY I KNOW TAMIL WE ARE HAVING SO MANY RELATIVES AT MADRAS.I AM 65years old.NOW WE ARE RESIDING AT HYDERABAD FOR TIME BEEING)Shortly we are coming back to my native town.

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