This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

September 12, 2011

Harmonic patterns in DAY/HR - Contd.. (sept 5)

The Chart below is the continuation of the chart posted in the link on sept 5:
http://tradeessentials.blogspot.com/2011/09/harmonic-patterns-in-dayhour-tf.html





After B was formed at 5065 - NS went down upto 4943 - an approx 38.2% retr toform C and then retraced almost 200% of BC to make a High at 5169. This is also close to the Week Hema of 5175 as per TA. This renders the Bearish butterfly pattern complete with,
XABCD at 5195, 4720,5064,4943 and 5169 respectively. The retracement of CD would determine the downfall from D. The retracements are as follows:

50.00%5056.00
61.80%5029.33
76.40%4996.34
78.60%4991.36
85.40%4976.00
88.60%4968.76
94.43%4955.59
100.00%4943.00


The D at 5169 is taken as the Bof the larger bearish Crab Pattern with XA = 5702 - 4720.
then,
Developing Bearish Crab Pattern would be,
XA = 5702 - 4720
B = 5169 - (approx)44.7% retr of XA
Min requirement for C = 38.2% retr of AB 
38.20%4997.48
50.00%4944.50
61.80%4891.52


This 38.2% retr at 4997 coincides with the 76.4% retr of the down retr of the completed bearish Butterfly pattern.

The HOUR chart:



INTRADAY UPDATE FOR SEPT 12:

Closed the existing Shorts at 4944 - 50% retracement of the AB wave. Initiated longs at 4935 ranges with Week Lema at 4920 as SL in hourly closing basis. - Reasons for Long trade:

1. Week Lema at 4920
2. rounding top is over at 4932
3. 50% retr is done.
4. expecting a bounce upto the 4985 - 5025 - Day 5ema/week5ema and week pivot.

Closed the intraday longs taken at 4935 at 4960. Strength returns only above close above 4970 - which will give a close above Hour 5ema!!






20 comments:

Sujatha said...

Hi

gm done a tour on your "insects" :)

and also refer friday's chart H&S formation?? neckline is 5100 gave advance clue for nifty today.

Intraday culprits for bears 4964/43/27 every third person knows this.

Have a good day.

regards

satheesh said...

GM sujatha,

Insects - :). I spotted a H&S formation in 5min charts on friday, for which the target is reached today :) Are you referring that?
or the developing H&S in Hour?

Left shoulder top - 5065
Head top - 5169
Now neckline bottom near 4945-60
expected bounce upto - Day 5 ema @ 5045-70

satheesh said...

This high of the bounce would become the right shoulder top

Sujatha said...

Was talking about Intraday chart of friday.

Nearly a month EOD chart provides good support @ 4964 hence v r surviving from "global cues"?? Am expecting decent bounce if at all it protects . target....??? :P will not say hehe :D if 5070 protects??? ofcourse difficult becoz of "global cues + another bearish engulfing" but everything is possible here :(

PS : u didn't take out the verification??

Kumar Technicals said...

Ok.......so two intellectuals are gossiping here silently:)

Dear sateesh, very good work again....thanx a lot.

Rgrds

Kumar

satheesh said...

kumar sir,

GM. no gossips - just discussing the levels which you and Ilango sir have given already. Just verifying whether my analysis gives your values!! :)

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear satheesh!

No need to verify, ur levels & work always show your sincerity & worthy of praise.

Tk cr

Kumar

satheesh said...

Thanks kumar sir

Sujatha said...

well said satheesh :) u r very correct.

16469/488/16585 sensex hurdles for bulls protection will give some upside or else 4868 calling???

satheesh said...

Sujatha,

I have made some changes in settings. please check if you get word verification while posting comments.

Sujatha said...

testing.. time to listen Harris's and yuvan's music??

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IsU9k_ROp-A

visit US without passport and visa :)

PS : again word verification :P :(

satheesh said...

I changed the settings - let me check out again. I shall definetely remove it.

Nice song!!

satheesh said...

Suja,

have you listened to this song. It is my all time favourite. However hard I try I am not able to reach the pitch of the song :)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGs9MXH42e4

Sujatha said...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NrhLoeormI0

listen the "clarity" that's a masterpiece of swarnalatha. i was very much upset when i heard abt her death didnt switch on the TV also :(

Sujatha said...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t09r97wbLMg

super sridevi + good music in Sailaja's voice i love that "patti" haha

satheesh said...

DEAD - I really did'nt know that!! when ??? suja I really feel broken!!!

Sujatha said...

believe this year only donno when..usually 7 pm SUN news will listen frm kitchen so heard dont want to see her face :(

closing below 4949/27 will give another gap down??

satheesh said...

Suja,

Today's post is my 100th POST :)

Sujatha said...

http://www.123rf.com/photo_4556148_group-of-kids-clapping.html

big applause for the "century" . fuel on your longs "impt weekly L4 cam level" + 1 fibo level. then i no need to worry "partner" is there :)

bye - take care

2morow is my computer exam. i didn't study computer in my 3rd std now studying :D :)

satheesh said...

your computer exam - :) well all the best for you and your daughter.

I am out of longs taken for intraday(scalped for 35 points). Today no positions. Closed both my positional shorts and 5000 puts. Must take fresh position tomorrow!!

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