This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

October 31, 2011

Analysis for Oct 31

Due to the Huge gapup opening on Friday NS reached near the much awaited 200 DMA to make a high of 5400.

WEEK Chart:


As per the Week  and Day TF,                                 


WEEK TFDAY TF
Bearish Crab Pattern:Bearish Shark Pattern:
XA - 5740 - 4720OX - 5168 -4728
B - 5169 approx 44.7% retr of XAA = 5034 - approx 61.8% retr
C - 4728 - Approx 100% retr of ABB = 4728 - 113% of XA
Projected D's:Projected C's:
141.4% - 5351.5161.8% of AB - 5223
161.8% - 5441 113% of OX - 5223
200% - 5610224% - 5413
224% - 5715161.8% of OX - 5423


The 161.8% projection of weekTF @ 5441 exactly reaches the trendline joining the Highs from 6338 onwards. Further upward momentum will be on a close above the trendline (@ 5450) from which the DAy TF ends and the Week Tf would play its role for targets upto 5700 levels.

Profit Booking is likely near the 200 DMA levels. So initially considering the Hour TF,



the projections for the wave 5011 -5400 (if 5400 Holds - else the new High will be A)


23.60%5308.00Day S2
Projections for 5011-540038.20%5251.00Day HEMA
44.70%5226.00Day 5EMA
50.00%5205.00Week Hema


So based on all the above factors, Shorts can be initiated at 5400-5420-5440 levels with SL of close above 5450.


Month LevelsDeveloping
CLOSE4943
PIVOT5163PIVOT5163
HI EMA5526HI EMA5484
LOW EMA5031LOW EMA4930
5 EMA53505 EMA5285
5 SMA53835 SMA5287
PrevHigh5169
Prev Low4759



Week levelsCHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE5361CLOSE5361
PIVOT5282PIVOT536110EMA5153
HI EMA5206HI EMA525113EMA5127
LOW EMA4956LOW EMA517726EMA5076
30wk MA53505EMA5218prev HI5400
40WK MA53835 SMA5180prev LOW5323
PrevHigh5400100 DMA5240
Prev Low5085200 DMA5409
20 Hr MA520850 Hr MA5131



Trade Table
Current patternO-XABC(current)
 Bearish Shark Day TF 5169-4758503447285400
Trade initiated
NILProj of BC with C @5400Abv 5400next levels
23.60%5241.00224% of AB5415.00
38.20%5143.00161.8% of OX5423.00
224% of OX5678.00


As per week TF the 161.8% projection for 4169-4728 comes to 5441.
Sell at levels near 5400-5420-5440 NS with SL Close above 5451 NS







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