This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

November 3, 2011

Analysis for Nov 3


Intraday Update 10.AM:

The Longs are reversed to shorts as per trade table as the Hour closing is below the Pivot of 5255NS. SL for Shorts intraday - Close above 5260NS

Longs terminated at 5255 NF and Shorts initiated at the same level.

Loss in Longs - 5280NF - 5255NF = 35 Points.

The Day Lema is at 5220NS. NS likely to get intraday bounce from this level upto pivot. More shorts can be added at higher levels.

Intraday Update 1.00 PM:

Current NS Low is 5205 and NF is 5223. breakdown of this is a channel breakdown!!. Will it breakdown or gain intraday support and bounce back ???



Intraday update 2.30PM:

NF found support at 5225 levels bounced back upto 5270 levels. Now a fast fall has developed invalid above 5280.  Added shorts at 5240NS/5270NF with SL same as 5260NS.

Intraday Update 3.15PM:

Nifty seems to be shuttling between the Day Hema and Lema. 3.00PM close is just at 5260. Currently today's close seems to be above the 5260 NS which is above the today's developing pivot. But the Day Hema is not taken out and close will be below the Day Hema of 5286 which also happens to be the week Pivot. So taking these factors into considerations the Shorts are held positionally.

 

CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE5258
PIVOT525510EMA5209
HI EMA529713EMA5183
LOW EMA522026EMA5118
5EMA5256prev HI5300
5 SMA5281prev LOW5205
100 DMA5232
200 DMA5401
20 Hr MA528950 Hr MA5223






Nifty made an Opening Low of 5205 yesterday but bounced back and rallied upto 5300 reaching almost 44.7% of AB. It has closed above yesterday's pivot and Day Lema but below Day Hema. 

Weakness would prevail if NS continues to trade below today's Pivot @ 5255. Then the Longs would be reversed to Shorts. 

Trade Table
Current patternX-AB(current)C 
Bullish Crab pattern5011 - 54005205
Trade initiatedSAR close below Pivot 5250 NS
Bought @ 5275 NSProj for CProj for B below 5220
23.60%5252.0044.70%5226.00
38.20%5280.0050.00%5205.00
44.70%5293.0061.80%5160.00
50.00%5303.0078.60%5094.00
61.80%5325.00
78.60%5358.00


If NS trades Below 5220 then next downsides for B
Day lema/100 DMA44.70%5226.00
prev Day Low50.00%5205.00
13 EMA/100 Hr MA61.80%5160.00
Prev week Low78.60%5094.00




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