This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

January 5, 2012

ANALYSIS FOR JAN 5

Intraday Update: 3.00PM:
Reinitiated 50% longs at 4742NF with 4715 Day EMA as SL.

Diamond pattern update:


Close below 4715 yestersday's Day 5EMA or close below the today's developing day Ema at 4725 will reverse the ST trend to downwards as it will have breached the Month Lema also.

Intraday Update 11.30AM:

NS getting resisted at the 200 Hr MA again at today's high of 4774. Also a Diamond formation is formed in 5min NF charts with a significant -ve divergence in 5min Smacd charts. So for now the longs are terminated at 4770NF.

Further Longs at hour close above 4780 or at 4685-4700 ranges.

Bullish factor : Trendline support and Fast rise Possiblity.
Bearish factor: Diamond formations perform better downward, a huge -ve divergence in 5min charts since yesterday and more chances of the MA's bearish crossover!!


ANALYSIS for JAN 5:

Nifty has closed above the Day Hema and Month Lema exhibiting Strength. Weakness would set in only on a Day close below DHEMA.

The SL for Longs is raised to close below 4750.

The Bearish Bat pattern is still continuing. Breakout above 4780 would give swift moves upto 4828.

The Hour Moving averages are alligned bullishly and the 20 MA has crossed over the 50 and 100 MA's. This could lead a swift move when NS crosses the 200 MA - and the 20 MA would move near the 200 MA.




CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE4750
PIVOT475410EMA4710
HI EMA474413EMA4717
LOW EMA467326EMA4770
5EMA4714prev HI4783
5 SMA4684prev LOW4729
20 DMA472550 DMA4916
20 Hr MA4707100 Hr MA4690
200 Hr MA477850 Hr MA4703



PositionalTrade Table
Current patternX-ABC(current)
Bearish Bat pattern Hour TF5099-453148014588
Trade initiatedSL Close below 4725-20 DMA
Bought @ 4610 NFProjections for D
61.80%4720.00
88.60%4776.00
100.00%4801.00
113.00%4828.00
127.00%4858.00



IMPORTANT TA parameters for projections
88.60%4776.00200 Hr MA/26 DEMA
100.00%4801.00weeK 5 SMA
113.00%4828.00Month 3EMA
127.00%4858.00week 10 EMA




5 comments:

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear Satheesh!

Very good presentation as usual, keep it up.

Accept my sincere wishes on Birthday of ur loving dad. Her soul will be proud of daughter's work today, May God bless you & all your family.

Rgrds,

Kumar

Prabakar said...

Dear Satheesh,

My Heartfelt Birthday Wishes to your Dad and I seek his blessings in this auspicious Day.

With Best Wishes,
Prabakar

satheesh said...

Thanks kumar sir, and prabhakar.

My memories of my dad always brings tears - and especially today seeing all your wishes - THANKYOU ALL!!He was such a noble and selfless person. I am striving hard to be a worthful daughter of his - and to be a parent like him!!

Kumar Technicals said...

Dear satheesh!

Dont bring tears in your eyes. You must be thankful to this date, bcoz on this auspicious date your father soul came in this world. You are on this earth bcoz your father came in this world on this date so just change your attitude and you will love this date your whole life:)

satheesh said...

Kumar sir Thanks for your kind words - i just love this date - no doubt about it - b'coz my DAD was born on this Day - Tears -b'coz I miss him - my children miss him all of us miss him!!

Post a Comment