This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

September 26, 2012

Analysis for Sept 26

Nifty Ended as a DOJI - depicting indecisiveness to move further. Trading Below Day Pivot - followed by trading below Day HEMA 5665 would indicate weakness. EOD close below Day LEMA 5600 would drag Nifty further down. But considering the expiry tomorrow  - close below Day LEMA is doubtful as Bulls are comfortably placed this expiry.

NIFTY WEEKLY CHARTS:


Developing Bullish SHARK Pattern Holding 5720-40high
OX - 4531 - 5629
A-4770- approx 78.6% retr of XA.
B - 5720 - approx 113% retr of XA (113% - 5740)
Holding B (5720-5740), Proj for C:
38.2% - 5357
44.7% - 5295
50% - 5245
61.8% - 5132

The 113% retr of the Leg 5629 - 4770 arrives at 5740. So an option of High of 5740 is still on cards. Cluster of Resistance (CLICK HERE)  act in this Zone, where a Pause in upmove can be expected.

Above 5740, this pattern would be relabelled as an ABCD pattern with Projections upto 5850++
A - 4531
B- 5629
C-4770
Proj for D above 5740,
127% - 5860
141.4% - 5984
161.8% - 6159

Day Chart:  CHANNEL SUPPORT  5660-50
 CHANNEL RESISTANCE - 5710-15




HOUR CHARTS:


HOUR CHANNEL
Resistance - 5680-85
Support - 5645-40

SYNOPSIS:

Hold Shorts with SL 5715NS.
Aggressive Longs for Intraday can be attempted at either channel Bottom at 5640 with 10 point SL
Longs can be attempted at 5605-5610 levels based on Day LEMA with 15 Point SL 5592 being the developing Week HEMA.


CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE5674HI EMA5666
PIVOT5676LOW EMA5604
prev HI570320 Hr MA5679
prev LOW565250 Hr MA5620
5EMA56375 SMA5638
10EMA557010 DMA5563
13EMA553920 DMA5426

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