This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

September 3, 2012

ANALYSIS FOR SEPT 3

Nifty ended the Month at a low of 5259 - just at the support of 50 day MA and Week LEMA - keeping the bulls hopes alive.

As mentioned earlier Nifty is currently at the support level of 5230-40.



DIAMOND PATTERN IN DAY CHARTS: to know about diamond patterns CLICK HERE








The DIAMOND PATTERN has given a breakout and now retesting the trendline. Support at 5230-5210 would take Nifty towards the High of the WEDGE. @ 5450++



After the Bullish/Golden crossover, Nifty has tested the 50 Day MA on Aug 31.
Holding the 50 DMA, Upside would continue.
An EOD close below 50 MA would singal weakness

HOUR HARMONIC CHART:

If 5238 Holds then,
Developing Bullish Bat Pattern
:
XA - 5032 - 5449
B - 5238 - 50% retr of XA (current)
Holding B, Proj for C:38.2% - 5319
44.7% - 5332
50% - 5343.5
61.8% - 5368
78.6% - 5403
88.6% - 5424

If 5238 Breaks, then Proj for B:
50% - 5240 -DONE
61.8% - 5191 - IF this level is achieved, then it would be termed as Gartley pattern
78.6% - 5121 - If this level is achieved it would be termed as Butterfly Pattern.
88.6% - 5092

SYNOPSIS:

TILL NIFTY HOLDS ABOVE THE 50DAY MA @ 5250 NS, THE UPTREND WOULD CONTINUE.
THE SL FOR THE AGGRESSIVE LONGS TAKEN ON 31 AUG IS TRAILED TO 5250NS.
THE STOPLOSS FOR THE POSITIONAL SHORTS IS 5310NS EOD CLOSE.


 Week LevelsMONTH LEVELS
CLOSE5259CLOSE5259
PIVOT5299PIVOT5291
HI EMA5376HI EMA5379
LOW EMA5256LOW EMA5010
5 EMA52955 EMA5214
5 SMA53105 SMA5188
10 EMA5267 High5449
PrevHigh5399LOW5165
Prev Low5239


CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE52595 SMA5309
PIVOT52675EMA5307
HI EMA534510EMA5326
LOW EMA528113EMA5327
prev HI530350 Hr MA5340
prev LOW5239100 Hr MA5352
20 DMA5334200 Hr MA5278
50 DMA5258
100 DMA5160



No comments:

Post a Comment