This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

November 28, 2013

NIFTY ANALYSIS

For the past two days Nifty has held on to the support of 6030 levels-Week channel, Day LEMA and 50 DMA Support and has closed above it.
Today's Support Level - 6000-6020 - 20pts +or- Day LEma
Today's resistance Level -6140-50 - 20 DMA
Break below 6000 would be a swift fall.



Today's expiry is likely to have huge moves on either side. Holding 6020-6000 levels is very crucial for a good run-up to 6150 levels.

As per Hour charts - there are both bullish and Bearish Possibilities:
A Bearish Crab Pattern with projected targets at 6150, 6200++
An ABCD Pattern with projected targets near 5800 levels.
For both Patterns the key is 6000 levels - Break below it and the ABCD would come into play.
Holding 6000 levels is required for the Crab pattern to reach the targets.



Bearish Crab Pattern
XA - 6343-5973
B- 6212 - 61.8% retr of XA
C - 5973 - above 88.6 of AB
Proj for D:
61.8% - 6120 - Done
78.6% - 6160
88.6% - 6184
113% - 6243

If 5973 is broken, then the Bearish Crab pattern would be invalidated and it would be labelled as ABCD pattern with targets for D near 5800 levels.
 
DAY VALUES      
HIGH 6074 5 EMA 6066
LOW 6030 5 DMA 6045
CLOSE 6057 10 DMA 6079
HI EMA 6103 50 DMA 6048
LEMA 6036 34 Hr MA 6055

TRADE STOPLOSS REASON FOR TRADE
Bought at 6050NS on 26/11 EOD close below 6020 50 dma/Day LEMA support

No comments:

Post a Comment