This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

November 29, 2013

Nifty Analysis

INTRADAY UPDATE 11.00 AM:
Nifty has reached the weekly channel resistance @ 6182.6 - current high. partbooking as mentioned earlier is done. Holding the rest with a trailing SL with Current Day HEMA and 20 DMA @ 5130 levels.


TRADE STOPLOSS REASON FOR Stoploss
Bought at 6050NS on 26/11 EOD close below 6130 20DMA/Day HEMA/5Week SMA
Part booked at 6180NS/6225NF    




Nifty high at weekly Channel resistance


NIFTY ANALYSIS:

Nifty has closed above most of the Moving Averages. Today being the end of the week and month, Nifty is likely to attempt the week HEMA and current Month HEMA @ 6178 and 6195 respectively - once 6120-30 levels are crossed. The EOD close being the EOW and EOM close - would be a deciding factor for the end of the year.

DAY VALUES      
HIGH 6113 5 EMA 6075
LOW 6068 5 DMA 6064
CLOSE 6092 10 DMA 6089
HI EMA 6106 50 DMA 6053
LEMA 6047 34 Hr MA 6069




As per Hour and Day charts the breakout point is above 6115-6120. As per the weekly Charts and Month TF - the next resistance is 6180-6200.

Partbooking at major resistance levels is a must to lock the profits. So It would be prudent to Book Profits at 6170-90 levels - which is possible ONLY IF the initial hurdle of 6120-30 is crossed.

End of Week/Month if it is above 6200 - would be highly bullish - Nifty towards new highs.

The Bearish Wolfe Wave in the Day charts cannot be ignored yet. Resistance at 6130 must be watched carefully and a decisive breakout is a must for sustained upmove. A break of 6020-6000 would be the trigger for panic button and Nifty would easily have a free fall towards 5800 levels.



So, trailing the Stoploss and partbooking at major resistance levels would be the key to success.

TRADE STOPLOSS REASON FOR TRADE
Bought at 6050NS on 26/11
6114 dec NF
EOD close below 6050 50 dma/Day LEMA support

   

Weakness would set in with a Hourly close below 10 DMA @ 6080 levels - if resisted at 6120-30 levels. - level to watch with caution.-
Part book at 6180-6190-6200 levels - once the hurdle of 6120-30 is crossed.



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