This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

January 10, 2012

Analysis for Jan 10

Intraday Update 2.00PM:
2.00Pm close is 4833. So terminated the aggressive shorts taken at 4830NF.


INTRADAY UPDATE 11.00am:

Aggressively shorted at 4830NF with SL close above 4830NS.
4828NS is the 113% retr and also it coincides with the Trendline. Further upmove on a close above 4828.NS.



The 4828 levels also corresponds to Week 10 EMA.



ANALYSIS FOR JAN 10:


CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE4743
PIVOT473210EMA4728
HI EMA476513EMA4729
LOW EMA469226EMA4764
5EMA4735prev HI4759
5 SMA4752prev LOW4695
20 DMA470850 DMA4896
20 Hr MA4734100 Hr MA4707
200 Hr MA477450 Hr MA4711


Bearish Shark pattern and Bearish Bat Pattern in Day Charts:


In the Bearish bat pattern 100% retr is achieved at 4801 today. (Refer posts Jan2 - Jan 5)

As per the ratios, if AB = 50% retr and BC = 78.6% retr, the max targets for
D are 161.8% of BC = 4932
          200% of BC - 5014
          224% of BC = 5065
Holding above the Day Hema of 4765, Nifty is Likely to achieve this target.

Above 4930++ - Month 5 EMA, the small Bearish bat pattern would end and then the Bearish Shark of Day TF would come into action for more upmoves.


PositionalTrade Table
Current patternX-ABCD(current)
Bearish Bat pattern Hour TF5099-4531480145884795 - 94.3% of BC
Trade initiatedSL Day close below 4765 Day HEMA
reentered Longs at 4795NF(10 Jan)If 4795 broken upwards then proj for D
113.00%4828.00
127.00%4858.00
141.40%4889.00
161.80%4932.00








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