This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

December 16, 2011

ANALYSIS FOR DEC 16

DIAmond pattern update:



Bank Nifty 5min futures Diamond pattern:



Breakout above 8570-90 BNF. Breakdown below todays low of 8431.


INTRADAY UPDATE 10.00 AM:
Entered 50% of Longs at 4800NF. Rest after a Dip near 4760-30NS.

ANALYSIS FOR DEC 16:

Nifty made a low of 4674 - but closed well above the 4700 levels. Today being the weekend - the closing levels would be very important for a sustained upmove. If Nifty closes above the Day Lema and week Lema - A pause for the down move can be expected. If subsequently Nifty closes above the Day 5 EMA - upward momentum will be high.

For the Bearish Bat pattern update and Weekly support charts -CLICK HERE.


Hour Chart Update:

Till the channel Hold, upsides are possible. If NS falls back into the channel, then more downsides would be expected.


There is a probabilty of a 50HrMA crossing below 100Hr MA - which would result in a fall. On the contrary, if it bounces from the 100 MA - then a fast rise would occur.



Todays levels are like cat on the wall - which way the Cat would jump???
Will today's RBI policy have an impact on Bank NIFTY - subsequently affecting NIFTY. Bank Nifty has acquired a strong support in monthly charts - will it HOLD???




Week levelsDeveloping levels
CLOSE4867CLOSE
PIVOT4936PIVOT4777
HI EMA5106HI EMA5040
LOW EMA4838LOW EMA4783
5 EMA49505 EMA4882
5 SMA49405SMA4856
PrevHigh5099 High4910
Prev Low4842LOW4674



CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE4746
PIVOT473010EMA4841
HI EMA485113EMA4858
LOW EMA475326EMA4927
5EMA4798prev HI4769
5 SMA4788prev LOW4674
20 DMA4853100 Hr MA4867
20 Hr MA476350 Hr MA4864



Trade Table
Current patternX-ABC 
Bearish Bat pattern5400 - 463950994674
Trade initiated Close below 4700
 Buy above 4740 NSProjections for D 
38.20%4836.0078.60%5008.00
44.70%4864.0088.60%5050.00
50.00%4886.00
61.80%4936.00
Booked profits at 4690NF.


Buy above 4740 NS with Positional Stoploss Close below 4700 NS.

8 comments:

Unknown said...

Well done.
Keep it up

Nilesh Patil said...

Thanks Satheesh. Good work done.

satheesh said...

Thanks Jigs and Nilesh

Parimal said...

Hi Satheesh
i am happy to see you have very nicely learnt and also implemented the lessons from Ilango Sir. this gives me confidence and inspiration.
kind regards

Parimal said...

Hello Satheesh
i find your fast rise/fall setup quite interesting. on weekends, i shall do some back-testing and fiddle with various combinations. if you can elaborate on weekends some more on these setups i shall be quite grateful.
best of regards

Sujeet said...

Hi Satheesh:

Its very near to H&S neckline, rather i would say
on Friday took some support at Neckline and manage to close above. what is realistic target for this set up if neck line is broken?

satheesh said...

Hi Sujeet,

Generally the target is Height of the Head from the point of breakout.

Refer the link for details about the pattern:

http://thepatternsite.com/hst.html

satheesh said...

Sujeet,

Few chart examples of H & S breakdowns.
refer Link:
http://www.chartpatterns.com/headandshoulderscharts_.htm
But the pattern works the best when the neckline is sloping upward. But in this case the neckline is sloping downwards. So there are chances of it becoming a Busted chart pattern where it rebounces back after just givening a 10-20% towards the direction of breakout and again bouncing back from good supports.

http://thepatternsite.com/BustHST.html

Post a Comment