This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

April 12, 2012

FEW CHARTS OF APRIL 12

Bank Nifty Futures 5 min Chart:


Breakout above today's high 10455 BNF.

DAY CHARTS 5D:




NIFTY DAY SUPPORT RESISTANCE:



BREAKOUT ABOVE 5310-20 NS
NIFTY HOUR CHART:


April 10, 2012

Analysis for April 10

Nifty yesterday formed a Huge red candle confirming the Bearish Baby Candle Pattern (April 9 chart ref. CLICK HERE) and closing below the Day Pivot, 5 EMA and Day HEMA. Close below the Day LEMA would lead to more downsides.


Below is the chart showing support levels of Nifty for this week


FIRST TRENDLINE SUPPORT - 5170 - 5180 - 200 DMA
TRIANGLE SUPPORT - 5100 - 5120 -  40 week MA
CHANNEL SUPPORT - 5050-5070 - 100 DMA
Breakdown below 5050 leads to 4950 levels -Month LEMA - 61.8% retracement for 4531 - 5629


The Bearish Shark Pattern will be invalidated below 5136 and it would form a Bullish ABCD again and would be labelled as:A-B- 5499-5136
C - 5379 - 61.8% OF AB
Proj for D:
113% - 5104
127% - 5070
161.8% - 4985


THE PROJECTIONS FOR D COINCIDES WITH THE SUPPORT LEVELS PROVIDED IN THE DAY CHART ABOVE.

AS THE HOUR IS OVERSOLD THERE MIGHT BE A BOUNCE FROM THE SUPPORT LEVELS OF 5180 -5200 INITIALLY OR THE 200 DMA -5151.
SO AN AGRESSIVE BUY CAN BE GENERATED AT THESE LEVELS WITH STRICT SL BELOW 200 DMA 5151.



CHECK LIST-DAY   
CLOSE52345 SMA5306
PIVOT52505EMA5282
HI EMA531410EMA5281
LOW EMA523113EMA5284
prev HI528826DEMA5292
prev LOW522810 DMA 5261
100 DMA5079100 Hr MA5270
200 DMA5151200 Hr MA5312

April 9, 2012

ANALYSIS FOR APR 9

Nifty has closed just near the Day Pivot and week Pivot. Nifty has formed an Bearish abandoned Baby pattern.



BEARISH ABANDONED BABY -
Look for a white candle in an upward price trend. Following that, a doji whose lower shadow remains above the prior candle’s high. The third day is a black candle with an upper shadow below the doji’s low
As per the above chart the upper shadow of the last candle is below the low of the previous day's candle with a gap down - giving the possibility of a Bearish Abandoned Baby - but it is formed as a spinning top - So a big red candle for follow up would confirm the pattern.

Nifty Has managed to close just at the Day 5EMA. The 10,13 AND 26 EMA'S are Bearishly alligned with a Possible Fast Fall set up. A Close below the Day 5 EMA would call for weakness.


Harmonic Patterns:

After completing a Bullish ABCD pattern in Hour Charts at 5136 - a 61.8% retracement is done to reach 5379.  If Nifty manges to get thro 5380 - breakout above the Day channel and trendline resistance of Hour Charts then the Bearish Shark Pattern (ref chart Mar 23 CLICK HERE) would come into play for much higher targets upto 5550++.




The Long term channel (ref chart March 23 Click here) has given good supports at 5136 lows, and has reached 5379. A Breakout above this is very much required for a good upmove.







WEEK CHART:


SYNOPSIS: A move above 5380 - corresponding to week Hema would Lead to good upmoves. Day/Week close below 5225 would lead to weakness.

Trading Time between 5380 and 5220.
                            


Week levelsMonth Levels
CLOSE5323CLOSE5296
PIVOT5327PIVOT5310
HI EMA5386HI EMA5434
LOW EMA5227LOW EMA4940
5 EMA53155 EMA5201
5 SMA53103 EMA5247
PrevHigh5379 High5499
Prev Low5279LOW5136



CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE53235 SMA5295
PIVOT53225EMA5306
HI EMA532710EMA5291
LOW EMA527413EMA5292
prev HI533826DEMA5297
prev LOW5305100 Hr MA5279
50 DMA5324200 Hr MA5320
20DMA5300