This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.
October 12, 2011
Analysis for 12 Oct 2011
Nifty met with resistance at 50DMA at 5045 and retraced its path dwonwards upto 20 DMA at 4965 to close just above Day Hema at 4974. Today if the Month Lema of 4930 and next 20DMA @ 4967 supports then the upward rally would continue. Else, it is likely to test the Day Lema/week Pivot at 4884 and 4845 respectively.
October 11, 2011
Analysis for OCT 11
Nifty traded well above the Day Hema and rallied to close above the 20DMA at 4980. Holding the 20 DMA Nifty is likely to move towards the 50 DMA at 5058. It is likely to face resistance in that area as there is a previous gap left unfilled from 5069 -5133. Moving past 5058 it is likely to reach 5122 - 88.6 % retracement of the leg 5169-4758.
The Huge falling wedge formed in the Day Charts is likely to break out above 5010. Sustaining above the 20 DMA more highs are possible.
The Huge falling wedge formed in the Day Charts is likely to break out above 5010. Sustaining above the 20 DMA more highs are possible.
October 10, 2011
Analysis for Oct 10
Nifty opened with a Huge Gap up on friday to reach a high of 4922 corresponding to the golden ratio of 61.8% retr for the fall from 5034-4728 and near Day High EMA. Nifty was Range Bound between 4900-4860 throughout the session.
If Nifty manages to get thro Day Hema with good volumes then the immediate resistance would be 4940-55 ranges - this being the prev month close and Monthly Pivot. If resisted near DayHEma at 4900 then NS is likely to get down to Day lema / Week Lema of 4905-4820 as per Hour TF.
If Nifty manages to get thro Day Hema with good volumes then the immediate resistance would be 4940-55 ranges - this being the prev month close and Monthly Pivot. If resisted near DayHEma at 4900 then NS is likely to get down to Day lema / Week Lema of 4905-4820 as per Hour TF.
October 7, 2011
Analysis for Oct 7
Nifty faced resistance at 4830 ranges at Day Lema on Oct 5 and again reached a Low of 4740. It is likely to get good support at these ranges. Positive divergences is exhibited in Hour indicators.
October 5, 2011
Analysis for Oct 5
Nifty got resisted at Day Lema at 4880 and fell rapidly toreach a Low of 4728. The previous low of 4720 is not breached. Nifty would gather strength above Day pivot of 4790.
If the Low is held Nifty is likely to rally upto 4845 - 4881 before facing selling pressure again.
If the Low is held Nifty is likely to rally upto 4845 - 4881 before facing selling pressure again.
October 4, 2011
Analysis for Oct 4
Nifty started the October month with a huge gap down and it could not reach the Day Lema during the intraday Bounce and it closed below the Day Pivot, Lema but managed to close above the Week Lema. A close above the Day pivot of 4851 would help Nifty gain some upward momentum.
Important Day Parameters:
| CHECK LIST-DAY | |||
| CLOSE | 4850 | ||
| PIVOT | 4851 | 5EMA | 4923 |
| HI EMA | 4969 | 10EMA | 4950 |
| LOW EMA | 4881 | 13EMA | 4961 |
| 5 SMA | 4942 | 26EMA | 5007 |
| 20DMA | 5016 | prev HI | 4879 |
| 50 DMA | 5118 | prev LOW | 4824 |
| 50Hr MA | 4912 | ||
| 100Hr MA | 4981 |
October 3, 2011
Analysis for OCT 3
Nifty got resisted at the Month Lema of 5031 and fell upto the Day Lema of 4924 ending the sept month below the monthly pivot of 4957 but above the weekly pivot of 4912 and Week and Day Lema. . Upward move is possible with a close above 4960 - month Pivot.
The important Month/week parameters:
The important Month/week parameters:
| Week levels | Month levels | ||
| CLOSE | 4943 | CLOSE | 4943 |
| PIVOT | 4912 | PIVOT | 4957 |
| HI EMA | 5122 | HI EMA | 5526 |
| LOW EMA | 4845 | LOW EMA | 5031 |
| 5 EMA | 4976 | 3 EMA | 5112 |
| 5 SMA | 4999 | 3 SMA | 5142 |




