This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

July 13, 2012

Analysis for July 13

Nifty has closed below the Day Pivot, Hema and Lema. Today at EOD if the Week High EMA @ 5271 is taken out then the upmove is likely to continue - A break below the developing Week 5 EMA @ 5210 levels would be a confirmation for the breakdown of the rising wedge.

SL FOR SHORTS TAKEN ON JULY 11 AT 5330 NS REVISED TO EOD CLOSE ABOVE 5275 - WEEK HEMA.



Developing Week Levels 
CLOSE 
PIVOT5267
HI EMA5271
LOW EMA5131
5 EMA5212
10 EMA5167
PrevHigh5349
Prev Low5218



CHECK LIST-DAY   
CLOSE52355 SMA5296
PIVOT52385EMA5283
HI EMA530410EMA5269
LOW EMA525913EMA5254
prev HI526220 Hr MA5291
prev LOW521850 Hr MA5296
10 DMA5295100 Hr MA5246
20 DMA5211200 Hr MA5151
100  DMA5182  

July 11, 2012

Analysis for JULY 11

INtraday Update 2.15 PM:


Break of today's current low of 5302 low will be breakdown of Rising Wedge!!!

Analysis for July 11:
Nifty has closed above the Pivot, Day Hema and 5 EMA. It has almost reached the top of the Rising wedge with Month HEMA at 5342 as a big resistance,

DAy charts and Hour Charts also exhibits -ve divergence and are in OverBought zone. So Caution with Longs is a must.




Aggressive Shorts taken at 5330 NS with SL Hourly close above 5345. It would be carried as positional Shorts if the EOD close is below 5345-50NS.




CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE53455 SMA5313
PIVOT53265EMA5307
HI EMA532010EMA5270
LOW EMA526913EMA5249
prev HI534920 Hr MA5301
prev LOW528550 Hr MA5297
10 DMA5270
20 DMA5193

July 9, 2012

Analysis for july 9

Returned from Kashi, Allahabad,dip in Holy Ganges trip Yesterday. Very very nice experience in Ganges and triveni sangamam.  After visiting the place I felt it is a must for anyone to see the beauty of Ganga. The only factor which worried me a lot is the untidiness of the place and pollution!! Will there be a way for Mother Ganga to be clean???

Nifty Has closed just above the Day and week 5 EMA and Hema - exhibiting Bullishness. It has completed a 61.8% Golden ratio retracement for the fall from 5629 - 4770. The Month Hema is ar 5325 and an EOD close above this would be very Bullish. But Caution is required with Longs as all Indicators are in Overbought zone and a little cooling off can be expected.

Todays trading range:  5265- 5295 - 5310 - 5325 - levels Day LEMA - Day 5ema - Day Hema - Month Hema respectively.

I shall update the charts and the harmonic formation charts after EOD.

Aggressive Trades:

SELL BELOW 5300 WITH SL Hourly close above 5325 -  +20 Pts + Day HEMA
BUY ABOVE 5270 WITH SL Hourly Close below 5350 - -20 Pts  Day LEMA



Week Levels 
CLOSE5317
PIVOT5305
HI EMA5232
LOW EMA5087
5 EMA5200
10 EMA5151
PrevHigh5334
Prev Low5263



CHECK LIST-DAY   
CLOSE53175 SMA5303
PIVOT53115EMA5294
HI EMA530810EMA5249
LOW EMA526213EMA5225
prev HI532720 Hr MA5306
prev LOW528850 Hr MA5268
10 DMA5232 
200 DMA5074  

June 27, 2012

Analysis for June 27

Nifty Range bound between 5160-75 and 5100-5080. Breakout above 100 DMA or breakdown below 5085 is required for further moves. Till then TRADING TIME


CHECK LIST-DAY   
CLOSE51215 SMA5133
PIVOT51775EMA5123
HI EMA515610EMA5106
LOW EMA509113EMA5093
prev HI513520 Hr MA5138
prev LOW509650 Hr MA5120
50 DMA5054100 Hr MA5097
200 DMA5074200 Hr MA4999
100  DMA5195  
20 DMA5043  



 Trade Table  
Current patternX-ABC(current)
0-5 pattern and Butterfly pattern (week)4804 - 502047704195
Trade initiatedSL EOD close above Day HEMA 5160 NS  
Shorted at 5190NF (jul) on june 25Proj for D  
 38.20%5032.00 
 50.00%4980.00 
 61.80%4930.00 

June 26, 2012

Analysis for June 26

Nifty got resisted at 100 DMA and fell to close below the Pivot, 5EMA and HEMA.





 Trade Table  
Current patternX-ABC(current)
0-5 pattern and Butterfly pattern (week)4804 - 502047704195
Trade initiatedSL EOD close above Day HEMA  
Shorted at 5190NF (jul) on june 25Proj for D  
 38.20%5032.00 
 50.00%4980.00 
 61.80%4930.00 




CHECK LIST-DAY   
CLOSE51155 SMA5130
PIVOT51385EMA5125
HI EMA516610EMA5103
LOW EMA508913EMA5089
prev HI519520 Hr MA5140
prev LOW510650 Hr MA5117
50 DMA5056100 Hr MA5084
200 DMA5196200 Hr MA4991
100  DMA5073  
20 DMA5037