This blog is my trading diary. It is an attempt to organise my analysis and thoughts. I follow the charting methods given in JUST NIFTY blog by Ilango sir and so the charts would have striking resemblance to his charts. I am indebted to Ilango sir for having made this blog possible for me.

September 15, 2011

ANALYSIS FOR SEPT 15

Nifty weekly chart:



The trendline support is at 5050-70. breakout and close above this would lead to more upsides.


















In the hour charts a move above 5060-70 would weaken the H& S pattern formed.


Nifty gathered support at 4920 - week Lema levels and bounced back sharply to close at 5013. It has closed above the DAy Pivot, DLEma, 5EMA and 10Ema.
The 5ema has closed below the 5sma.


CHECK LIST-DAY
CLOSE5013
PIVOT49855EMA5005
HI EMA505010EMA5010
LOW EMA494813EMA5014
5 SMA504526EMA5072.6
20DMA4977Ystrdy HI5026
50 DMA5289Ystrdy LOW4917
100 DMA
200 DMA



Todays Action Plan:
Levels to be watched:
5005, 5040,5050,5072.
Sell below 5050 with SL 5075

Buy above 4950 (Day Lema) with SL Hr close below 4940

INTRADAY UPDATE: (10.am ) 


















A bearish Crab is completed in 5min NF. This whole pattern of 5min is the move from 5030-4911 on 13 sept till today mornings high. In case the high of 5061NS  is fixed for today, then it is likely to become the right shoulder. The Pink resistance line drawn in the above hour chart will be reached if the 61.8% retr happens now. A move from that would decide if the H&S pattern would be valid.

Intraday Update: 12.10PM

Following a Bearish Crab, a bullish Gartley is forming.


















The CD of the Bearish crab becomes the XA of the Bullish Gartley.

XA = 4909-5047
B = 4959 = 61.5% retr of XA
C = 5013 = 61.8% of AB ( if this holds)
then retracements of D

61.80%4979.63
76.40%4971.74
78.60%4970.56
85.40%4966.88
94.43%4962.01
94.43%4962.01
127.00%4944.42
161.80%4925.63


Update at 1.45PM
Today has been a day of 61.8% retr:
61.8% retr of 4090-5047 = 4960
61.8% retr of 4959-5013 = 4981
161.8% retr of 5013-4978 = 5035

Todays NF movement

5047 -4959-5013-4978-5044
The power of fibo!!!!










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